@lamprey263 said:
Europe will oppose any direct securiry interventions because their economies are tied to the supply of oil and gas from Russia, and not just Europe either since world supply effects all prices even here in the states. At best just sanctions and if everyone is lucky Russia will flood market with more supply to keep everyone complacent. Surely though I imagine Ukraine is given behind the scene support of equipment and training and surveillance support and coordinating but don't imagine it will stop and committed Russian incursion.
Anyhow, another Saudi situation where nations defy their principles and bend the knee for their reliance on foreign energy. More reason to promote renewable energy and energy efficiency and not just for environmental reasons.
This is how it currently is in europe.
Everybody sends there personal in ukraine back to the country's they come from, everybody does there own thing as country and nobody can or will stop Russia or cares for some useless EU communist brussel activisits opinions. They all care for there own market and relationship with russia.
EU doesn't exist, the same for navo. Nobody in west of europe is going to war russia ever. It's not going to happen. Russia never lost a war and never will lose a war unlike the US which practically lost every single war they participated in. EU knows how war works and have no solution to counter russia in any way and will never result in creating a solution because it will be destructive towards there own country's anyway. which means creating a giant EU military complex. It will never happen.
US throwing is dick around on the other side of the sea screaming fire, can't do shit about it because nothing there little boats could do and no EU country will allow them to float into the EU in massive numbers because it instantly create a reaction from russia towards there country which they don't want.
And then there is the idea that most EU people probably don't care for ukraine to start with and see the point of russia as valid anyway. EU should have never expanded towards ukraine or the eastern boarder. they are buffer country's towards Russia. If the EU would have never meddled in those country's nothing would have happened.
About energy. Again EU own fault.
Every country can be Independence on this department. People can power there entire house for heat and anything they need through electricity by using nuclear power stations. They decided to not do so, because there shitty wonky gas reliance puts them in a shit spot. They decided to go the cheap route and results are as expected. If they wanted to create there own energy solution they could have made it happen in the last decade.
@horgen said:
I think Germany should send a stern letter to Putin. That will solve this little problem.
@lamprey263 said:
@LJS9502_basic: "Russia's economy also depends on the supply of oil though."
That would be at risk if there was a major military intervention from allied western countries and right now there hasn't been any sort of broad international arrangement on how to proceed with the risk of a Russian incursion into Ukraine... well, not that I am aware of but I don't really follow it all that close. Doubtful there'd be a response either once the deed is done, except more sanctions. The oil will still flow though I would assume.
Sale of gas is important as well I believe... And stopping that might lead to China getting involved.
Germany has no power. US crippled there military and with that other EU country's because they will 100% use it on Europe to conquer it again if they are strong enough. It's basically how Germans function they never changed.
@Stevo_the_gamer said:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-01-22/first-part-of-200-million-u-s-defence-aid-arrives-in-ukraine
200 million worth of Military aid from US arrived in Ukraine today which I'm sure Russia won't take to kindly too.
Imagine thinking 200m is going to safe ukraine from being steamrolled by russia. It's a suicide mission. The best thing ukraine government can do is surrender the first moment of attack entirely.
@girlusocrazy said:
If democratic nations don't defend Ukraine then that will send message to other fragile nations thinking of turning to democracy. It will cast doubt on alliances of democratic nations. It will also embolden Russia and other nations under similar authoritarian regimes.
Has nothing to do with fragile country's thinking of turning to democracy.
Everybody wants to join the EU that's piss poor because it creates access towards the EU markets + financial support. The whole east is getting bankrolled by the west and they all want that.
The west wants them because free labor. U can basically hire 2-3 polish people for 1 dutch person and hoard them up like kettle in a house + they can exploit there country's for easy energy grids they can absolute themselves. This is why u see so much corruption in Ukraine where even biden takes part in with his son.
The east can never join the EU for the simple reason Russia will not allow it as they see the east as a extension of russia that is off the grid. It's the same way as tommorow china starts to recruit a state of the US into there country. It's instant reaction.
@lamprey263 said:
@LJS9502_basic: "Russia's economy also depends on the supply of oil though."
That would be at risk if there was a major military intervention from allied western countries and right now there hasn't been any sort of broad international arrangement on how to proceed with the risk of a Russian incursion into Ukraine... well, not that I am aware of but I don't really follow it all that close. Doubtful there'd be a response either once the deed is done, except more sanctions. The oil will still flow though I would assume.
EU doesn't have a military, every country themselves have a militairy and those miltairy's are not goign to fight against a juggernaut called russia for endless of reasons. I can expect huge resignations of miltairy personal the moment a government sends militairy towards the eastern front as its a suicide mission + resistance from public against there own politicians. It's suicide for them also. It will never happen.
The only thing that will happen is some weak sanctions that nobody cares about.
Because russia could simple invade the next country after it if those sanctions aren't pulled back. There are tons of country's boardering russia.
@ghost_of_phobos said:
If I were Ukraine, I would push as hard as possible to become a NATO member. And if I were NATO I would very much welcome Ukraine. They're an independent nation and that seems like the best and strongest move.
But as we stand, Russia is just moving troops in their own territory. It's bad neighborhood but it is what it is. It's not like they're bombing the shit out of Iraq...I mean, Ukraine.
It is concerning, it just takes one crazy leader for calamity. Rationality says there's no real danger but we never know. What really moves Putin right now? I'm really not in the mood for a WW but in case of an invasion from I do support a military response.
And looking at past wars can NATO even win a war? And Russia is not a poor nation in the desert, if China joins in I really don't know.
I honestly think and hope nothing will come out of it. But Putin is a real threat that has been aloud everything without real consequences by everyone. Maybe he's just not brown enough to bomb?
NATO doesn't exist. The only reason west send a bunch of militairy towards afghanistan was to keep markets happy with the US, nobody in the EU cared for it. Ukraine has no interest for the EU to care for and will not be supported. As its on EU soil US will have to invade the EU themselves to even start a war against Russia as the EU will never do so. And if that happens, u can bet US is kicked out of the EU faster then light so there is no way in hell that's going to happen as they will lose a massive amount of influence over there over night.
Unlikes the US wants u to believe putin isn't crazy. He does exactly what the US would have done. Imagine having russia buy mexico up and start to massively expand there militairy in there that boarders with US + atomic bombs etc. But instead of just being mexico its 2 hours away from your capital. U honestly think u would allow this to happen? or would u invade mexico at this point to prevent this from happening to create distance between u and your "enemy".
@LJS9502_basic said:
@JimB said:
@LJS9502_basic said:
What position are we in Jim? This is a bigger problem for Europe. And Biden will stand with allies anyway. You really need to turn off your propaganda sites. trump was weak. He cowered to Russia, China, North Korea. They loved it when he was president for a reason.
You can say a lot about Trump but he was not weak. They like Trump because they knew where they stood with him. He also sent them subtle messages which they got if they got out of line. Biden's actions revealed how weak he was for all the world to see which is why we are in this mess.
No they liked trump because they could get what they wanted from him. Which makes him weak Jim.
EU see's Biden as weak and nothing but a puppet towards US military markets, there stances moving in 4 years from yes to no on subjects also makes them unreliable as partners. Nobody cares what biden has to say other then ukraine because EU will not allow biden to do shit on there soil if that involves making russia angry.
Unlike populaire US propoganda channels, Putin isn't seen as weak or a idiot or a tyrant in the EU. He's seen as smart powerful and workable with perfectly fine.
The reaction under here, showcases why.
@sargentd said:
Biden said on the world stage that depending on the size of an incursion we won't do anything lol
Ukraine's leader was freaking out lmao
"Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has hit back at comments made by his US counterpart Joe Biden about a "minor incursion" by Russia into his country.
Mr Biden had suggested that a "minor" attack might bring a weaker response from the US and its allies.
But Mr Zelensky tweeted: "There are no minor incursions. Just as there are no minor casualties and little grief from the loss of loved ones."
Russia has some 100,000 troops near the border but denies planning an invasion."
That's exactly why US is seen as weak. they fully support ukraine, then pull out whenever things get real and basically fucks you over. They are not trusted in any way. It's another reason why biden is a weak president in the US and that's also why russia has no trouble going in if they want too because US government is basically a joke at this point.
@mrbojangles25 said:
@ghost_of_phobos said:
...
And looking at past wars can NATO even win a war? And Russia is not a poor nation in the desert, if China joins in I really don't know.
...
27 European countries, Canada, and the US can definitely win a war. Hell, I think just Western Europe could probably defeat Russia.
It won't come to that. At least I hope it won't. The world is too small of a place these days for another World War to happen.
US never won a war in there life. They basically only faced a defeated germany and where massively supported by the country's they invaded to get the last remaining germans out of europe. Russia won wars and won wars against enemy's far more dangerous then the US has ever been and single handedly destroyed the most powerful war machine ever created called germany that invaded them constantly.
Even today the US can't win a war for shit in a desert with goat herders as there main enemy or a bunch of Vietnamese that where so far behind them on every level they still had to surrender. Unlike what they showcase in movies and propaganda US channels, the US is seen as weak, with leadership that constantly changes there stance on things to the point they are basically nothing but additions towards a paper.
Russia will never be conquered and russia will honestly use ukraine as nuclear testing facility if they feel like it fits them. U will never win a invasion into russia because they will nuke the living shit out of the boarders if needed.
Anybody that thinks they can win against russia are simple kamikaze suicide activists. And that's why 200m support to ukraine is laughable, u basically supporting there suicide actions.
@ghost_of_phobos said:
@JimB: We need strong leaders that say they trust more Putin that US intelligence.
So where are those atomic bombs? in Afghanistan.
That whole debacle alone is a reason why nobody trusts US intelligence.
Then on top of that Afghanistan disaster where they stated they had still months of time and got overrun the next day.
Then on top of that, ukraine itself right now. Biden will stand completely behind ukraine, just to pull back at the last moment.
U can't relay on the US, and everybody knows it. US intelligence is honestly nothing but useless paper.
Anyway.
Ukraine is RIP. There own fault by being greedy. I hope they have a nice time being part of Russia. All made possible by the EU staging a coup in that country with the US so they could exploit the country to shit and with people honestly thinking it was a good idea to do so. Will now see the results of there ideology.
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